The future is uncertain, but it is digital

Here’s the logic:

  • “Education is now the number one economic priority in today’s global economy”— John Naisbitt (1998, Megatrends)
  • Developments in machine learning and AI should deliver truly global education technology
  • So that, by 2030, the largest company on the Internet is going to be a currently unknown education-based company.

This is the prediction Thomas Frey (senior futurist at the DaVinci Institute) reached through considering trends in technology over the last decade.

It’s a great job if you can get it (albeit with minimal scope for performance-related pay), but the predictions of very few futurists have actually come to pass. As a boy, my much-loved 1976 Usborne Book of the Future, stuffed with graphic images of the space race, influenced world my adult self would inhabit: in the future, I imagined a flying car on the drive, annual holidays on Mars and moon-based zero-G Olympics. I have now come to terms with a very different 21st Century technological reality; one where an all-encompassing digital world is full of excitement and potential.

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